Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.943748 16.961105 19.263953 22.112386 25.576262 29.698431 35.046520
2025-06-01 12.251267 14.739548 17.827870 22.025855 27.719867 35.389506 46.905044
2025-06-08 10.502447 13.095437 16.486829 21.389669 28.555612 39.111913 56.858276
2025-06-15 9.458169 12.135648 15.789766 21.351847 30.025246 43.880631 69.838328
2025-06-22 8.372195 10.956653 14.590230 20.328663 29.713565 45.660761 78.247443
2025-06-29 7.472528 9.931134 13.469517 19.224834 29.011126 46.527253 85.151460
2025-07-06 6.819978 9.192725 12.681975 18.516247 28.812391 48.202731 94.405058
2025-07-13 6.928781 9.574392 13.616950 20.723530 34.163762 62.089616 140.092614
2025-07-20 6.702317 9.420118 13.684432 21.450718 36.897040 71.477736 181.452692
2025-07-27 6.255092 8.882424 13.071896 20.870700 36.882765 74.514351 205.363430
2025-08-03 6.079834 8.760278 13.134011 21.537568 39.619191 85.369138 269.027192
2025-08-10 5.759583 8.378019 12.715596 21.226854 40.131327 90.495220 315.492271
2025-08-17 5.450843 8.007708 12.310783 20.944427 40.787325 96.750924 380.092933
2025-08-24 5.198858 7.715581 12.020906 20.862604 41.936389 105.201523 476.133482
2025-08-31 4.900241 7.323884 11.517489 20.272131 41.688133 108.996928 551.712898
2025-09-07 4.703403 7.093280 11.289322 20.237005 42.886022 118.611887 706.751393
2025-09-14 4.405605 6.670337 10.672191 19.286157 41.425978 117.571232 758.687617
2025-09-21 4.120526 6.255918 10.046218 18.258897 39.597220 114.489893 784.041041
2025-09-28 3.901118 5.946740 9.601715 17.598634 38.712821 115.110715 865.064345
2025-10-05 4.014494 6.231774 10.313649 19.653261 46.246766 157.998075 2027.945699
2025-10-12 3.961415 6.212850 10.428794 20.328819 49.819147 186.081705 3677.616827
2025-10-19 3.787569 5.963349 10.064100 19.790034 49.275812 190.825170 4616.364240
2025-10-26 3.738182 5.941176 10.158989 20.409459 52.873370 224.793602 10160.424495